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Hit Me Baby One More Time
One more cut = one more risk rally
Gonna start with the Fed even though…
…. I think there are far more interesting things going on this week.
So, the market is convinced that the Fed will cut one more time before pausing, which seems about right.
On one side, the labour market is fine but trends are a little weak…
Labor mkt growth in last 6 months is dogshit. 143k is the 6m MA.
Below U3 maintenance rate.
VS 180k all yr and 207k H1.
— EconstratPB (@EconstratPB)
2:12 PM • Dec 16, 2024
While there’s enough inflation pressure to have them concerned that it’s not been defeated just yet…
Brent Donnelly
So, this meeting is all about the messaging and the projections.