it is all obvious

Last week markets, especially crypto markets, were battered because of a lil Trump post.

And it seems like the market has amnesia for whatever reason.

To those of us in the know (me), the playbook was obvious.

Sunday comes and Trump drops the obvious bomb.

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We have seen this playbook happen before.

The TACO trade, as it has become known.

‘Trump Always Chickens Out.’

But now it’s the CACOTACO trade, because China has done the same thing.

China said the new controls are NOT a full export ban and applications that “meet regulations” will be approved.

This is therefore all a huge non-event.

However those levered up to the eyeballs in crypto will not see it this way.

The altcoin market is decimated with lots of people completely wiped out in the largest liquidation event in history.

Which is exactly why in the Fink Academy we focus solely on US mid and large cap stocks - better liquidity, better depth.

We sort of know what we’re doing with this stuff.

But where do we go from here?

Well in a section in the Academy, we talk about surprise premium - that is the extent to which the market is surprised by something causes volatility. Nothing else; which is why macro boys focused on data that everyone knows about think the economy matters to markets, when it only matters in a handful of occasions.

We now can picture a story in our heads.

We once again know the worst care - 100% tariffs on Nov 1.

But we know no one wants that.

So any betterment on the current situation means risk releases like an elastic band and returns to normal.

Where should you seek opportunity here then?

Well, intiially the tech stocks that sold off as they will be bought back hard as part of systematic rebalancing.

You could see Tesla absolutely fly this week.

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Also, make sure you watch this chat I had with Colin on why Britain is Failing.

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